JOURNAL OF DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS

Analysis of an epidemiological model structured by time-since-last-infection
Alfaro-Murillo JA, Feng Z and Glasser JW
Modeling time-since-last-infection (TSLI) provides a means of formulating epidemiological models with fewer state variables (or epidemiological classes) and more flexible descriptions of infectivity after infection and susceptibility after recovery than usual. The model considered here has two time variables: chronological time () and the TSLI (), and it has only two classes: never infected ( ) and infected at least once (). Unlike most age-structured epidemiological models, in which the equation is formulated using , ours uses a more general differential operator. This allows weaker conditions for the infectivity and susceptibility functions, and thus, is more generally applicable. We reformulate the model as an age dependent population problem for analysis, so that published results for these types of problems can be applied, including the existence and regularity of model solutions. We also show how other coupled models having two types of time variables can be stated as age dependent population problems.
Bifurcation analysis of an SIRS epidemic model with a generalized nonmonotone and saturated incidence rate
Lu M, Huang J, Ruan S and Yu P
In this paper, we study a susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIRS) epidemic model with a generalized nonmonotone and saturated incidence rate , in which the infection function first increases to a maximum when a new infectious disease emerges, then decreases due to psychological effect, and eventually tends to a saturation level due to crowding effect. It is shown that there are a weak focus of multiplicity at most two and a cusp of codimension at most two for various parameter values, and the model undergoes saddle-node bifurcation, Bogdanov-Takens bifurcation of codimension two, Hopf bifurcation, and degenerate Hopf bifurcation of codimension two as the parameters vary. It is shown that there exists a critical value for the psychological effect, and two critical values for the infection rate such that: (i) when , or and , the disease will die out for all positive initial populations; (ii) when and , the disease will die out for almost all positive initial populations; (iii) when and , the disease will persist in the form of a positive coexistent steady state for some positive initial populations; and (iv) when and , the disease will persist in the form of multiple positive periodic coexistent oscillations and coexistent steady states for some positive initial populations. Numerical simulations, including the existence of one or two limit cycles and data-fitting of the influenza data in Mainland China, are presented to illustrate the theoretical results.
On the wave length of smooth periodic traveling waves of the Camassa-Holm equation
Geyer A and Villadelprat J
This paper is concerned with the wave length of smooth periodic traveling wave solutions of the Camassa-Holm equation. The set of these solutions can be parametrized using the wave height (or "peak-to-peak amplitude"). Our main result establishes monotonicity properties of the map [Formula: see text], i.e., the wave length as a function of the wave height. We obtain the explicit bifurcation values, in terms of the parameters associated with the equation, which distinguish between the two possible qualitative behaviors of [Formula: see text], namely monotonicity and unimodality. The key point is to relate [Formula: see text] to the period function of a planar differential system with a quadratic-like first integral, and to apply a criterion which bounds the number of critical periods for this type of systems.
Oscillations in multi-stable monotone systems with slowly varying feedback
Gedeon T and Sontag ED
The study of dynamics of gene regulatory networks is of increasing interest in systems biology. A useful approach to the study of these complex systems is to view them as decomposed into feedback loops around open loop monotone systems. Key features of the dynamics of the original system are then deduced from the input-output characteristics of the open loop system and the sign of the feedback. This paper extends these results, showing how to use the same framework of input-output systems in order to prove existence of oscillations, if the slowly varying strength of the feedback depends on the state of the system.