A hybrid adaptive approach for instance transfer learning with dynamic and imbalanced data
Machine learning has demonstrated success in clinical risk prediction modeling with complex electronic health record data. However, the evolving nature of clinical practices can dynamically change the underlying data distribution over time, leading to model performance drift. Adopting an outdated model is potentially risky and may result in unintentional losses. In this paper, we propose a novel ybrid daptive oosting approach (HA-Boost) for transfer learning. HA-Boost is characterized by the domain similarity-based and class imbalance-based adaptation mechanisms, which simultaneously address two critical limitations of the classical TrAdaBoost algorithm. We validated HA-Boost in predicting hospital-acquired acute kidney injury using real-world longitudinal electronic health records data. The experiment results demonstrate that HA-Boost stably outperforms the competing baselines in terms of both AUROC and AUPRC across a 7-year time span. This study has confirmed the effectiveness of transfer learning as a superior model updating approach in dynamic environment.
An intelligent forecast for COVID-19 based on single and multiple features
It is urgent to identify the development of the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in countries around the world. Therefore, visualization is particularly important for monitoring the COVID-19. In this paper, we visually analyze the real-time data of COVID-19, to monitor the trend of COVID-19 in the form of charts. At present, the COVID-19 is still spreading. However, in the existing works, the visualization of COVID-19 data has not established a certain connection between the forecast of the epidemic data and the forecast of the epidemic. To better predict the development trend of the COVID-19, we establish a logistic growth model to predict the development of the epidemic by using the same data source in the visualization. However, the logistic growth model only has a single feature. To predict the epidemic situation in an all-round way, we also predict the development trend of the COVID-19 based on the Susceptible Exposed Infected Removed epidemic model with multiple features. We fit the data predicted by the model to the real COVID-19 epidemic data. The simulation results show that the predicted epidemic development trend is consistent with the actual epidemic development trend, and our model performs well in predicting the trend of COVID-19.
Performance of exponential similarity measures in supply of commodities in containment zones during COVID-19 pandemic under Pythagorean fuzzy sets
Following the breakout of the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), the government of India was forced to prohibit all forms of human movement. It became important to establish and maintain a supply of commodities in hotspots and containment zones in different parts of the country. This study critically proposes new exponential similarity measures to understand the requirement and distribution of commodities to these zones during the rapid spread of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) across the globe. The primary goal is to utilize the important aspect of similarity measures based on exponential function under Pythagorean fuzzy sets, proposed by Yager. The article aims at finding the most required commodity in the affected areas and ensures its distribution in hotspots and containment zones. The projected path of grocery delivery to different residences in containment zones is determined by estimating the similarity measure between each residence and the various necessary goods. Numerical computations have been carried out to validate our proposed measures. Moreover, a comparison of the result for the proposed measures has been carried out to prove the efficacy.
Intuitionistic fuzzy set of -submodules and its application in modeling spread of viral diseases, mutated COVID-, via flights
In this study, we generalize fuzzy -module, as intuitionistic fuzzy -submodule of -module (IF M), and utilize it for modeling the spread of coronavirus in air travels. Certain fundamental features of intuitionistic fuzzy -submodule are provided, and it is proved that IF M can be considered as a complete lattice. Some elucidatory examples are demonstrated to explain the properties of IF M. The relevance between the upper and lower -level cut and intuitionistic fuzzy -submodules are presented and the characteristics of upper and lower under image and inverse image of IF M are acquired. It is verified that the image and inverse image of intuitionistic fuzzy -submodule are preserved under the module homomorphism. The obtained IF M is used to model the aerial transition of viral diseases, that is, COVID-, via flights.
Rise of multiattribute decision-making in combating COVID-19: A systematic review of the state-of-the-art literature
Considering the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, the government and health sectors are incapable of making fast and reliable decisions, particularly given the various effects of decisions on different contexts or countries across multiple sectors. Therefore, leaders often seek decision support approaches to assist them in such scenarios. The most common decision support approach used in this regard is multiattribute decision-making (MADM). MADM can assist in enforcing the most ideal decision in the best way possible when fed with the appropriate evaluation criteria and aspects. MADM also has been of great aid to practitioners during the COVID-19 pandemic. Moreover, MADM shows resilience in mitigating consequences in health sectors and other fields. Therefore, this study aims to analyse the rise of MADM techniques in combating COVID-19 by presenting a systematic literature review of the state-of-the-art COVID-19 applications. Articles on related topics were searched in four major databases, namely, Web of Science, IEEE Xplore, ScienceDirect, and Scopus, from the beginning of the pandemic in 2019 to April 2021. Articles were selected on the basis of the inclusion and exclusion criteria for the identified systematic review protocol, and a total of 51 articles were obtained after screening and filtering. All these articles were formed into a coherent taxonomy to describe the corresponding current standpoints in the literature. This taxonomy was drawn on the basis of four major categories, namely, medical ( = 30), social ( = 4), economic ( = 13) and technological ( = 4). Deep analysis for each category was performed in terms of several aspects, including issues and challenges encountered, contributions, data set, evaluation criteria, MADM techniques, evaluation and validation and bibliography analysis. This study emphasised the current standpoint and opportunities for MADM in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic and promoted additional efforts towards understanding and providing new potential future directions to fulfil the needs of this study field.
Using self-organising maps to predict and contain natural disasters and pandemics
The unfolding coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has highlighted the global need for robust predictive and containment tools and strategies. COVID-19 continues to cause widespread economic and social turmoil, and while the current focus is on both minimising the spread of the disease and deploying a range of vaccines to save lives, attention will soon turn to future proofing. In line with this, this paper proposes a prediction and containment model that could be used for pandemics and natural disasters. It combines selective lockdowns and protective cordons to rapidly contain the hazard while allowing minimally impacted local communities to conduct "business as usual" and/or offer support to highly impacted areas. A flexible, easy to use data analytics model, based on Self Organising Maps, is developed to facilitate easy decision making by governments and organisations. Comparative tests using publicly available data for Great Britain (GB) show that through the use of the proposed prediction and containment strategy, it is possible to reduce the peak infection rate, while keeping several regions (up to 25% of GB parliamentary constituencies) economically active within protective cordons.
A comprehensive review of federated learning for COVID-19 detection
The coronavirus of 2019 (COVID-19) was declared a global pandemic by World Health Organization in March 2020. Effective testing is crucial to slow the spread of the pandemic. Artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques can help COVID-19 detection using various clinical symptom data. While deep learning (DL) approach requiring centralized data is susceptible to a high risk of data privacy breaches, federated learning (FL) approach resting on decentralized data can preserve data privacy, a critical factor in the health domain. This paper reviews recent advances in applying DL and FL techniques for COVID-19 detection with a focus on the latter. A model FL implementation use case in health systems with a COVID-19 detection using chest X-ray image data sets is studied. We have also reviewed applications of previously published FL experiments for COVID-19 research to demonstrate the applicability of FL in tackling health research issues. Last, several challenges in FL implementation in the healthcare domain are discussed in terms of potential future work.
NAGNN: Classification of COVID-19 based on neighboring aware representation from deep graph neural network
COVID-19 pneumonia started in December 2019 and caused large casualties and huge economic losses. In this study, we intended to develop a computer-aided diagnosis system based on artificial intelligence to automatically identify the COVID-19 in chest computed tomography images. We utilized transfer learning to obtain the image-level representation (ILR) based on the backbone deep convolutional neural network. Then, a novel neighboring aware representation (NAR) was proposed to exploit the neighboring relationships between the ILR vectors. To obtain the neighboring information in the feature space of the ILRs, an ILR graph was generated based on the -nearest neighbors algorithm, in which the ILRs were linked with their -nearest neighboring ILRs. Afterward, the NARs were computed by the fusion of the ILRs and the graph. On the basis of this representation, a novel end-to-end COVID-19 classification architecture called neighboring aware graph neural network (NAGNN) was proposed. The private and public data sets were used for evaluation in the experiments. Results revealed that our NAGNN outperformed all the 10 state-of-the-art methods in terms of generalization ability. Therefore, the proposed NAGNN is effective in detecting COVID-19, which can be used in clinical diagnosis.
Generalized two-tailed hypothesis testing for quantiles applied to the psychosocial status during the COVID-19 pandemic
Nonparametric tests do not rely on data belonging to any particular parametric family of probability distributions, which makes them preferable in case of doubt about the underlying population. Although the two-tailed sign test is likely the most common nonparametric test for location problems, practitioners face serious drawbacks, such as its lack of statistical power and its inapplicability when information regarding data and hypotheses is uncertain or imprecise. In this paper, we generalize the two-tailed sign test by embedding fuzzy hypotheses caused by uncertainty/imprecision regarding linguistic statements on fractions of underlying quantiles. By achieving this objective, (1) crucial limitations of the common two-tailed sign test are mitigated/overcome, (2) various further strengths are incorporated into the sign test (e.g., meeting the trade-off between point- and interval-valued hypotheses, facilitated formulation of fuzzy hypotheses, standardization of membership functions), and (3) shortcomings that often come along with fuzzy hypothesis testing are avoided (e.g., higher complexity, fuzzy test decision, possibilistic interpretation of test results). In addition, we conduct a comprehensive case study using a real data set on the psychosocial status during the COVID-19 pandemic. The results of the case study clearly indicate that the generalized two-tailed sign test is preferable to the two-tailed sign test with point- or interval-valued hypotheses.
Machine learning for medical imaging-based COVID-19 detection and diagnosis
The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is considered to be a significant health challenge worldwide because of its rapid human-to-human transmission, leading to a rise in the number of infected people and deaths. The detection of COVID-19 at the earliest stage is therefore of paramount importance for controlling the pandemic spread and reducing the mortality rate. The real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction, the primary method of diagnosis for coronavirus infection, has a relatively high false negative rate while detecting early stage disease. Meanwhile, the manifestations of COVID-19, as seen through medical imaging methods such as computed tomography (CT), radiograph (X-ray), and ultrasound imaging, show individual characteristics that differ from those of healthy cases or other types of pneumonia. Machine learning (ML) applications for COVID-19 diagnosis, detection, and the assessment of disease severity based on medical imaging have gained considerable attention. Herein, we review the recent progress of ML in COVID-19 detection with a particular focus on ML models using CT and X-ray images published in high-ranking journals, including a discussion of the predominant features of medical imaging in patients with COVID-19. Deep Learning algorithms, particularly convolutional neural networks, have been utilized widely for image segmentation and classification to identify patients with COVID-19 and many ML modules have achieved remarkable predictive results using datasets with limited sample sizes.
A comprehensive study of upward fuzzy preference relation based fuzzy rough set models: Properties and applications in treatment of coronavirus disease
In this paper, we first introduce a new type of rough sets called -upward fuzzified preference rodownward fuzzy preferenceugh sets using upward fuzy preference relation. Thereafter on the basis of -upward fuzzified preference rough sets, we propose approximate precision, rough degree, approximate quality and their mutual relationships. Furthermore, we presented the idea of new types of fuzzy upward -coverings, fuzzy upward -neighborhoods and fuzzy upward complement -neighborhoods and some relavent properties are discussed. Hereby, we formulate a new type of upward lower and upward upper approximations by applying an upward -neighborhoods. After employing the upward -neighborhoods based upward rough set approach to it any times, we can only get the six different sets at most. That is to say, every rough set in a universe can be approximated by only six sets, where the lower and upper approximations of each set in the six sets are still lying among these six sets. The relationships among these six sets are established. Subsequently, we presented the idea to combine the fuzzy implicator and -norm to introduce multigranulation -fuzzy upward rough set applying fuzzy upward -covering and some relative properties are discussed. Finally we presented a new technique for the selection of medicine for treatment of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using multigranulation -fuzzy upward rough sets.
Learning to learn by yourself: Unsupervised meta-learning with self-knowledge distillation for COVID-19 diagnosis from pneumonia cases
The goal of diagnosing the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) from suspected pneumonia cases, that is, recognizing COVID-19 from chest X-ray or computed tomography (CT) images, is to improve diagnostic accuracy, leading to faster intervention. The most important and challenging problem here is to design an effective and robust diagnosis model. To this end, there are three challenges to overcome: (1) The lack of training samples limits the success of existing deep-learning-based methods. (2) Many public COVID-19 data sets contain only a few images without fine-grained labels. (3) Due to the explosive growth of suspected cases, it is and to diagnose not only COVID-19 cases but also the cases of other types of pneumonia that are similar to the symptoms of COVID-19. To address these issues, we propose a novel framework called to address the problem of differentiating COVID-19 from pneumonia cases. During training, our model cannot use any true labels and aims to gain the ability of learning to learn by itself. In particular, we first present a deep diagnosis model based on a relation network to capture and memorize the relation among different images. Second, to enhance the performance of our model, we design a self-knowledge distillation mechanism that distills knowledge within our model itself. Our network is divided into several parts, and the knowledge in the deeper parts is squeezed into the shallow ones. The final results are derived from our model by learning to compare the features of images. Experimental results demonstrate that our approach achieves significantly higher performance than other state-of-the-art methods. Moreover, we construct a new COVID-19 pneumonia data set based on text mining, consisting of 2696 COVID-19 images (347 X-ray + 2349 CT), 10,155 images (9661 X-ray + 494 CT) about other types of pneumonia, and the fine-grained labels of all. Our data set considers not only a bacterial infection or viral infection which causes pneumonia but also a viral infection derived from the influenza virus or coronavirus.
A novel corpus-based computing method for handling critical word-ranking issues: An example of COVID-19 research articles
A corpus is a massive body of structured textual data that are stored and operated electronically. It usually combines with statistics, machine learning algorithms, or artificial intelligence (AI) technologies to explore the semantic relationship between lexical units, and beneficial when applied to language learning, information processing, translation, and so forth. In the face of a novel disease, like, COVID-19, establishing medical-specific corpus will enhance frontline medical personnel's information acquisition efficiency, guiding them on the right approaches to respond to and prevent the novel disease. To effectively retrieve critical messages from the corpus, appropriately handling word-ranking issues is quite crucial. However, traditional frequency-based approaches may cause bias in handling word-ranking issues because they neither optimize the corpus nor integrally take words' frequency dispersion and concentration criteria into consideration. Thus, this paper develops a novel corpus-based approach that combines a corpus software and Hirsch index (H-index) algorithm to handle the aforementioned issues simultaneously, making word-ranking processes more accurate. This paper compiled 100 COVID-19-related research articles as an empirical example of the target corpus. To verify the proposed approach, this study compared the results of two traditional frequency-based approaches and the proposed approach. The results indicate that the proposed approach can refine corpus and simultaneously compute words' frequency dispersion and concentration criteria in handling word-ranking issues.
Nonparametric fuzzy hypothesis testing for quantiles applied to clinical characteristics of COVID-19
The sign test is one of the most popular nonparametric tests for location problems and allows testing for any quantile of a population. However, the common sign test has serious drawbacks such as loss of information by considering solely signs of observations but not their magnitudes, various problems related to handling of ties in the data, and the lack of embedding uncertainty regarding the fraction of underlying quantile. To address these issues, we present an extended sign test based on fuzzy categories and fuzzy formulated hypotheses that improves the generality, versatility, and practicability of the common sign test. This generalized test procedure is neat in theory and practice and avoids disadvantages that are often associated with fuzzy tests (e.g., a considerably higher complexity of the underlying model, a fuzzy test decision, and a possibilistic instead of a probabilistic interpretation of test results). In addition, we perform a comprehensive case study on COVID-19 in HIV-infected individuals with a focus on human body temperature and related measurement problems. The results of the study clearly indicate that fuzzy categories and fuzzy hypotheses improve the performance of the sign test.
Determining the location of isolation hospitals for COVID-19 via Delphi-based MCDM method
The existing contagious epidemic disease, [SARS]-CoV-2, has been one of the biggest public health problems that humankind combatting against since December 2019. Answering the increase in the number of infected patients during the pandemic is one of the biggest challenges for healthcare systems, where resources have already been employed by a significant number of patients. While assigning most of the resources to infected people is an effective way in a short-term planning, its bitter effects on regular healthcare cannot be undervalued. Moreover, within this plan the risk of spreading the disease to other patients and healthcare providers is another risk that should not be underestimated. Therefore, in this study, we proposed the Delphi-based multicriteria decision-making (MCDM) framework for selecting the most appropriate location for an isolation hospital serving only epidemic-based patients with mild to moderate symptoms. The integrated framework consists of Delphi, Best-Worst Method, and interval type-2 fuzzy Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) methodologies. Nine most effecting criteria are considered in the evaluation of five alternative locations in a real case study conducted at the European side of Istanbul. Ataturk Airport is determined as the best location to set up an isolation hospital based on determined nine evaluation criteria. The effectiveness and robustness of the framework are analyzed through comparative and sensitivity analyses.
Emergency decision support modeling for COVID-19 based on spherical fuzzy information
Significant emergency measures should be taken until an emergency event occurs. It is understood that the emergency is characterized by limited time and information, harmfulness and uncertainty, and decision-makers are always critically bound by uncertainty and risk. This paper introduces many novel approaches to addressing the emergency situation of COVID-19 under spherical fuzzy environment. Fundamentally, the paper includes six main sections to achieve appropriate and accurate measures to address the situation of emergency decision-making. As the spherical fuzzy set (FS) is a generalized framework of fuzzy structure to handle more uncertainty and ambiguity in decision-making problems (DMPs). First, we discuss basic algebraic operational laws (AOLs) under spherical FS. In addition, elaborate on the deficiency of existing AOLs and present three cases to address the validity of the proposed novel AOLs under spherical fuzzy settings. Second, we present a list of Einstein aggregation operators (AgOp) based on the Einstein norm to aggregate uncertain information in DMPs. Thirdly, we are introducing two techniques to demonstrate the unknown weight of the criteria. Fourthly, we develop extended TOPSIS and Gray relational analysis approaches based on AgOp with unknown weight information of the criteria. In fifth, we design three algorithms to address the uncertainty and ambiguity information in emergency DMPs. Finally, the numerical case study of the novel carnivorous (COVID-19) situation is provided as an application for emergency decision-making based on the proposed three algorithms. Results explore the effectiveness of our proposed methodologies and provide accurate emergency measures to address the global uncertainty of COVID-19.