Chess players' fame versus their merit
We investigate a pool of international chess title holders born between 1901 and 1943. Using Elo ratings, we compute for every player his expected score in a game with a randomly selected player from the pool. We use this figure as the player's merit. We measure players' fame as the number of Google hits. The correlation between fame and merit is 0.38. At the same time, the correlation between the logarithm of fame and merit is 0.61. This suggests that fame grows exponentially with merit.
The wealth, health and wellbeing of Ireland's older people before and during the economic crisis
The economic crisis of 2008/9 was felt more acutely in Ireland relative to elsewhere and culminated in the international bailout in 2010. Given the economic collapse, Ireland provides an ideal case-study of the link between wealth collapses and movements in variables such as health and well-being. Using nationally-representative samples of older people collected before and during the crisis, we show that mean net assets fell by 45 percent between 2006/7 and 2012/13. In spite of this massive fall in wealth, measures of health and well-being remained broadly unchanged. However, expectations about future living standards became less optimistic. The results tend to support the findings of other recent studies that recessions do not have widespread negative effects on health and well-being.
Spousal Employment and Intra-Household Bargaining Power
This paper considers the relationship between work status and decision-making power of the head of household and his spouse. I use household fixed effects models to address the possibility that spousal work status maybe correlated with unobserved factors that also affect bargaining power within the home. Consistent with the hypothesis that greater economic resources yield greater bargaining power, I find that the spouse of the head of household is more likely to be involved in decisions when she has been employed. Similarly, the head of household is less likely to be the sole decision-maker when his spouse works.
State income tax policy and geographic labour force mobility in the United States
"This study empirically investigates the impact of state income tax policy on U.S. interstate migration [of the labor force] for the period 1985-89. It finds that people vote with their feet and prefer to move so as to minimize their state income tax liabilities."
Population and economic growth: a cointegration analysis of lesser developed countries
Welfare and the family size decision of low-income, two-parent families
The causality between fertility and female labour force participation in Japan
An investigation of cointegration and causality between fertility and female labour force participation
Just passing through: the effect of the Master Settlement Agreement on estimated cigarette tax price pass-through
In 1998, cigarette manufacturers and state attorneys general in the United States settled a group of lawsuits in an agreement known as the Master Settlement Agreement (MSA). Among the provisions of this agreement were a set of mandated escrow payments to the states that would be based on cigarette sales. The result of these provisions is that the apparent relationship between taxes and prices changed substantially following implementation of the MSA. This article estimates whether the MSA escrow amounts are reflected in prices and compares the pass-through rate of state and federal cigarette taxes only and the rate when one adds escrow payments. We find much different pass-through rates for the two measures. State and federal taxes are not fully passed to smokers. In years that escrow payments were made, cigarette prices increased by more than the sum of the state and federal taxes and the escrow payments.
The effects of minimum wages on the health of working teenagers
This article examines the effect of minimum wage increases on the self-reported health of teenage workers. We use a difference-in-differences estimation strategy and data from the Current Population Survey, and disaggregate the sample by race/ethnicity and gender to uncover the differential effects of changes in the minimum wage on health. We find that white women are more likely to report better health with a minimum wage increase while Hispanic men report worse health.
Education Budget Savings from Ending Child Marriage and Early Childbirths: The Case of Niger
Ending child marriage and early childbirths would reduce total fertility rates and population growth especially in countries with a high incidence of child marriage, early childbirths, or both. Savings for public budgets could be large. This article relies on demographic projections and a UNESCO costing model for the provision of education by governments to estimate savings that could result from ending child marriage and early childbirths for public education budgets. The analysis is conducted for Niger, the country with the highest rate of child marriage in the world.
Fiscal policy for stabilization during the COVID-19 crisis: the role of social spending
This paper analyses whether government spending for social protection contributed more to counteracting the COVID-19 crisis than in previous episodes. Based on data for 27 EU countries over 1995-2021, we find that social spending is countercyclical and contributed to stabilization during the pandemic. However, we do not find evidence that overall social spending during 2020-2021 was more countercyclical then before. While unemployment spending played a particularly strong countercyclical role during the pandemic years 2020-2021, the cyclical behaviour of spending on old age, family and children, and sickness and disability was more in line with the past. The cyclicality of unemployment spending differs when comparing Continental with Southern, Nordic and Eastern EU countries.